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My Long-Term Concerns for My Trading Strategy

My Long-Term Concerns for My Trading Strategy

Posted On May 6, 2021 1:04 pm
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In Yesterday’s email, I wrote, “Sorry Boo Bear, but El Toro is back in control!”

That single line brought a barrage of questions about where the markets are going, etc. 

I’m going to pick one of the questions, but they all asked the same general question…

“Steve, Did you see the article from yesterday (Tuesday) on Zero Hedge.  BoA is calling for “transitory” hyperinflation.  

What does that even mean?  How is that affecting your trading strategy?

What are the long-term concerns if they are right?

I would love to hear your thoughts.”

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I’m withholding this person’s name because I didn’t ask to release the email publically…

But so many people asked the same question, I thought I should address it.  

First, I did see the article.  If you didn’t here is the exact quote from BoA:

“On an absolute basis, [inflation] mentions skyrocketed to near-record highs from 2011, pointing to at the very least, “transitory” hyper-inflation ahead.”

I’m not sure what “transitory hyperinflation” is.  I’ve never heard the term before. I understand the words, but I don’t have a frame of reference to know exactly what they are expecting. 

As far as affecting my trading strategy, it isn’t.  

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Look, we all know the possible outcomes of the Fed Policy.  But they’ve kept it together since 2008.  

And a few months ago I finally threw in the towel on my beliefs and feelings about Fed policy.  

We trade the market we have

And so I will continue doing that.  

As far as long-term concerns, I hate to admit that I don’t know.  

I have some suspicions – which I have alluded to in the past…

But I just don’t know what is going to happen. 

In the meantime, we are going to keep finding and putting on great trades in Options360.  I shared some with you earlier this week – so I won’t rehash the topic.  

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I think this year will be the same…

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To Your Success,

Steve

About author

Steve Smith
Steve Smith

Steve Smith have been involved in all facets of the investment industry in a variety of roles ranging from speculator, educator, manager and advisor. This has taken him from the trading floors of Chicago to hedge funds on Wall Street to the world online. From 1987 to 1996, he served as a market maker at the Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) and Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). From 1997 to 2007, he was a Senior Columnist and Managing Editor for TheStreet.com, handling their Option Alert and Short Report newsletters. The Option Alert was awarded the MIN “best business newsletter” in 2006. From 2009 to 2013, Smith was a Senior Columnist and Managing Editor for Minyanville’s OptionSmith newsletter, as well as a Risk Manager Consultant for New Vernon Capital LLC. Smith acted as an advisor to build models and option strategies to reduce portfolio exposure and enhance returns for the four main funds. Since 2015, he has worked for Adam Mesh Trading Group. There, he has managed Options360 and Earning 360, been co-leader of Option Academy, and contributed to The Option Specialist website.

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