By: Steve Smith
A quick note today as my internet is out following one of those notorious Florida thunderstorms. Even though I have a surge protector it…
blew out my router and now I’m using my phone as a hotspot which is spotty as best.
Before getting to the VIX a quick reminder that it’s not too late to join Earnings360.
During this first week we’ve executed 6 trades and have had 5 winners with just 1 loser. The profits we’ve booked are already more than two times the price of the service! And we still have 5 weeks remaining.
This morning Earnings360 established a new position in the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) as a means of benefitting from an increase in volatility within the next two weeks.
The VIX has been holding pretty steady in the 24-25 level even as the S&P 500 market has enjoyed a 5.4% rally over the past week; in fact the VIX actually rose on Tuesday’s big rally. Some of this stickiness is simply the implied volatility is non-directional so theoretically if the market is moving either up or down around 2% per day, which it has been doing, that translates into around a 30 VIX. Meaning the VIX is fairly priced here.
The other reason it has been sticky is there were a lot of hedges put in place during June, some of that is now rolling off meaning there is less downside protection which makes the market more vulnerable to large moves especially to the downside.
This morning I sent an Alert to Options360 members explaining the above and said:
“Let’s use a backspread (ratio) to have a relatively inexpensive chip down in case things fall apart.”
I can’t give you the specifics of the trade strategy because that wouldn’t be fair to current Options360 members but I can say we spent only $150, which represents the maximum risk, while the profit potential is theoretically unlimited. A possible scenario would be if the VIX jumps back to the 35 level it hit just last month would translate into the position being worth around $1,300 or about a 650% gain.
To follow this trade and get into all the rest that have helped propel Options360 to a 15.3% gain so far this year.
Steve Smith have been involved in all facets of the investment industry in a variety of roles ranging from speculator, educator, manager and advisor. This has taken him from the trading floors of Chicago to hedge funds on Wall Street to the world online. From 1987 to 1996, he served as a market maker at the Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) and Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). From 1997 to 2007, he was a Senior Columnist and Managing Editor for TheStreet.com, handling their Option Alert and Short Report newsletters. The Option Alert was awarded the MIN “best business newsletter” in 2006. From 2009 to 2013, Smith was a Senior Columnist and Managing Editor for Minyanville’s OptionSmith newsletter, as well as a Risk Manager Consultant for New Vernon Capital LLC. Smith acted as an advisor to build models and option strategies to reduce portfolio exposure and enhance returns for the four main funds. Since 2015, he has worked for Adam Mesh Trading Group. There, he has managed Options360 and Earning 360, been co-leader of Option Academy, and contributed to The Option Specialist website.
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