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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) – October Buy, Sell or Hold?

Taiwanese chip giant Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) is pushing into overseas manufacturing, eyeing Japan as a suitable production base following its struggle to recruit workers for its Arizona facility. The company’s $8.6 billion under-construction Japanese hub is expected to start production in 2024.

Although the company is in talks with the Arizona government to attract more investment and address some challenges the company has faced in the state, the Arizona hub is anticipated to be delayed until 2025 due to a lack of specialty workers.

Moreover, for the second quarter, TSM’s revenue and net income dropped from their prior-year period values as the company was impacted by macroeconomic pressures. For the third quarter, while the company expects support from its 3-nanometer technologies, customers’ inventory adjustment could partially offset that gain.

Given this backdrop, let’s look at the trends of TSM’s key financial metrics to understand why it could be wise to wait for a better entry point in the stock.

Assessing Financial Performance: A Deep Dive into Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

The trailing-12-month net income of TSM has demonstrated a positive trend over the observed time frame, growing from $499.84 billion in September 2020 to $941.95 billion in June 2023. Key points:

Overall, TSM’s net income has experienced an upward trend with steady growth patterns. However, the latter six months have seen some instability, with a significant dip observed. The growth rate from the first reported value to the last stands at approximately 88.45%, indicating a substantial increase over these years.

It should be noted that while the company’s profitability witnessed robust growth for the majority of the period, the recent dip suggests the need for enhanced focus on this aspect.

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