Behind the Numbers: Analyzing the $11.3M Airbnb (ABNB) Stock Sale

Behind the Numbers: Analyzing the $11.3M Airbnb (ABNB) Stock Sale

Posted On December 15, 2023 10:08 am

Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) CEO and Chairman Brian Chesky sold 84,144 shares on December 5. The shares were sold at prices ranging from $132.89 to $135.68, for a total value of nearly $11.31 million. Following the sale, the CEO now owns 15.9 million shares of ABNB. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC.

Also, Brian Chesky made other trades recently. On November 6, he sold 30,000 shares of ABNB stock at an average price of $118.59, for a total value of approximately $3.36 million. On October 2, the CEO sold another 30,000 shares of Airbnb stock at an average price of $136.54, for a total value of nearly $4.1 million.

On September 12, Chesky sold 150,000 shares of ABNB stock at an average price of $150.06 for a total value of approximately $22.51 million.

Over the past year, of the 190 insider trades, 162 were ‘sell.’ of which 156 were sales.

The CEO’s recent stock sale has raised some eyebrows in the investment community. Insider selling is often seen as a negative sign, as it could indicate that those with the most insight into the company’s workings and growth prospects believe that its stock price is overvalued or may underperform in the future.

But at the same time, insiders may sell shares for reasons unrelated to their expectations for the company’s future performance. For instance, when insiders liquidate their shares at consistent points throughout the year, they are merely diversifying their holdings. Also, the remaining sizable position owned by the CEO demonstrates his confidence in the company’s prospects.

Shares of ABNB have gained more than 20% over the past month and nearly 14% over the last six months. Also, the stock has surged more than 49% over the past year.

However, let’s take a close look at the travel company’s fundamentals to gauge how its stock will perform in the near term:

Robust Performance in the Last Reported Quarter

For the third quarter that ended September 30, 2023, ABNB, an online marketplace for hospitality services, reported revenue of $3.40 billion, beating analysts’ estimate of $3.37 billion. This compared to the revenue of $2.88 billion in the same quarter of 2022. The total nights and experiences bookings were 113.2 million, more than the 99.7 million reported in the year-ago quarter.

The travel company’s income from operations came in at $1.50 billion, an increase of 24.4% from the prior year’s quarter. Its net income rose 260.3% year-over-year to $4.37 billion. It posted net income per share attributable to Class A and Class B common stockholders of $6.63, compared to the consensus estimate of $2.10, and up 270.4% year-over-year.

Furthermore, ABNB’s cash and cash equivalents stood at $8.18 billion as of September 30, 2023, compared to $14.86 billion as of December 31, 2022. The company’s current assets were $17.52 billion versus $14.86 billion as of December 31, 2022.

Mixed Analyst Estimates

Analysts expect ABNB’s revenue for the fourth quarter (ending December 2023) to grow 13.4% year-over-year to $2.16 billion. The consensus EPS estimate of $0.66 for the ongoing year indicates a 36.5% year-over-year increase. Moreover, the company has surpassed the consensus revenue and EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, which is impressive.

For the fiscal year 2023, Street expects Airbnb’s revenue and EPS to grow 17.3% and 198.7% year-over-year to $9.85 billion and $8.33, respectively. In addition, the company’s revenue for the fiscal year 2024 is expected to increase 11.4% from the previous year to $10.98 billion.

However, analysts expect the company’s EPS for the next year to…

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